Monday, December 12, 2016

Electoral College Explained

Daniel R. Schuckers is one of Pennsylvania's outstanding legal historians and a reader of this blog. He contributes herein his first article, his own writing.  With a M.A. in history from Stanford, a law degree, a former assistant state attorney general, a protonotary and now a law school professor, few have the credentials he has to examine and explain the American system of electing presidents.  He wrote this article in 2012 never dreaming in 2016, once again, the USA method of electing by States and not the majority vote, would come into play.  At this writing, Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 2 1/2 million popular votes, but remains behind in the Electoral College. - GNH

THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE: AN EXCELLENT BUT IMPERFECT SYSTEM

by DANIEL R. SCHUCKERS, ESQ.



This year Americans celebrate the 225th anniversary of the writing of the American Constitution. The debt that modem Americans owe to the Founders of 1787 is immense: a federal system with power distributed between the national and state governments, a tripartite system of government with checks and balances, an independent judiciary and the rule of law. Although Americans argue about the legacy of the Founders and the meaning of the Constitution (as is often evident in the judicial opinions of Justices Scalia and Breyer and as is evident in the political campaigns and debates this presidential election year), the American people still admire and even revere the work done by the Founders at the Constitutional Convention in Philadelphia in 1787.    



                                              Right, Dan Schuckers

As much as Americans revere the Founders and the basic principles of 1787, they must confront the reality that one of the creations of the Founders has served the Republic imperfectly.  Since the emergence in the 1850's of the two major political parties, there have been 39 presidential elections; in 36 of the elections, the Electoral College reflected the will of the American people.  In three of the elections --- 1876, 1888 and 2000 --- the Electoral College failed to reflect the will of the American people and in each case a President was sworn into office who did not receive a majority or even a plurality of the popular votes.

In 1968, the American Bar Association issued a report which stated that "the electoral college method of electing a President of the United States is archaic, undemocratic, complex, ambiguous, indirect and dangerous." These six adjectives were used to support the conclusion in the ABA report that "it seems most appropriate that the election of the nation's only two national officers be by national referendum." The ABA report reflected a proposal that was made and rejected in Philadelphia in 1787 and that continues to be made 225 years later.


ORIGINS OF THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE

Article II of the Constitution establishes the executive branch of government and the method by which the President is chosen: "Each state shall appoint, in such manner as the legislature thereof may direct, a number of electors, equal to the whole number of Senators and Representatives to which the state may be entitled in the Congress."   Then, as noted by Alexander Hamilton in Federalist Paper No. 68 "the people of each state shall choose a number of persons as electors, who shall assemble within the state, and vote for some fit person as President. Their votes, thus given, are to be transmitted to the seat of national government, and the person who may happen to have a majority of the whole number of votes will be the President."

              Thus, electors from the states, not the people, not the Congress and not the state legislatures, choose the President.  Direct election of the President was advocated in Philadelphia by such leading delegates as James Madison of Virginia and James Wilson and Gouverneur Morris of Pennsylvania, but was twice rejected in part because of concern that the public would not know the candidates, their qualifications and their positions.  Election by Congress was also considered, but also twice rejected because of the delegates' belief that the President should be independent of Congress.  Election by the state legislatures was also rejected in Philadelphia in 1787.


James Wilson of Pennsylvania was the first to suggest an Electoral College and toward the end of the Constitutional Convention the delegates adopted the proposal.  Wilson acknowledged that the issue of how to choose the President "greatly divided the house."  Although the method by which the President is elected divided the delegates in Philadelphia, Alexander Hamilton in Federalist Paper No. 68 noted that those who favored rejection of the 1787 Constitution did not focus on the Electoral College; the Electoral College "has escaped without severe censure."  Hamilton continued: "if the manner of (choosing the President) be not perfect, it is at least excellent."


EXAMPLES OF IMPERFECTIONS IN THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE

An imperfection in Article II of the Constitution became evident in 1800 when it became clear that there was no separate provision for voting for Vice President.  In the election of 1800, the Republican electors voted for Thomas Jefferson and Aaron Burr with the intent of voting for Jefferson for President and Burr for Vice President.  There being no provision for voting for Vice President, the electors gave as many votes to Burr as to Jefferson thereby forcing the election into the House of Representatives.  After 35 ballots, several state Congressional delegations switched their votes thereby ensuring the election of Thomas Jefferson as President and Aaron Burr as Vice President.  This imperfection in Article II was corrected with the adoption in 1804 of the Twelfth Amendment providing for separation ballots for President and Vice President.

For critics of the Electoral College, the election of 1824 provides another example of a defect in the system.  In a four-candidate race, Andrew Jackson received a plurality of the popular vote, ie, approximately 40%, but he received only 99 electoral votes out of a total of 261.  With John Quincy Adams having received 84 electoral votes, William Crawford having received 41 electoral votes and Henry Clay having received 37 electoral votes, the Presidential election was again referred to the
House of Representatives where Henry Clay as Speaker of the House wielded considerable influence. In what Andrew Jackson called ''the corrupt bargain; Clay threw his support to Adams who won 13 of the 24 state Congressional delegations and newly-elected President Adams appointed Clay Secretary of State.

Since the birth of the Republican Party in the 1850's and the emergence of the two-party system, three Presidential (as of 2016, four) elections have resulted in the Electoral College vote being contrary to the popular vote.  In each case, great bitterness has resulted along with cries for the abolition or reform of the Electoral College.

In the election of 1876, the Democratic candidate, Samuel Tilden, won a majority of the popular vote, but the vote of the Electoral College was marked by disputes concerning certification of electors from four states. The House and the Senate could not agree on which electors from those four states should be certified. For the first and only time in American history, Congress formed a bipartisan Electoral Commission to resolve the dispute. With eight Republicans and seven Democrats on the Electoral Commission, the electoral votes of Florida, Louisiana, South Carolina and Oregon were awarded to Republican Rutherford B. Hayes thereby ensuring his victory by an electoral count of 185 to 184.

Similarly, in 1888, the Democratic candidate, Grover Cleveland, won the popular vote by about 100,000 votes, but Republican Benjamin Harrison was victorious in several states with small margins thereby obtaining a victory in the Electoral College by a vote of 233 to 168.

In 2000, the Democratic candidate, Albert Gore, Jr., won the popular vote by about 530,000 votes, but Republican George W. Bush was victorious in several states with small margins, particularly   in Florida after considerable litigation and a controversial decision by the United States Supreme Court. His victory in the Electoral College was by a vote of 271 to 266.


PENNSYLVANIA'S PRESENT SYSTEM OF SELECTING ELECTORS

The Constitution does not dictate to the states how the electors are to be chosen in each state. For the past century, all states except Maine and Nebraska, have utilized the "unit rule," ie, "a winner take all" system.  Maine with four electoral votes and Nebraska with five electoral votes give electoral votes to the winner of each Congressional district (two in Maine and three in Nebraska) and two electoral votes to the overall winner of the popular vote in the state.  All other states give their electoral votes to the candidate who has received the most popular votes within that state.

Electors in Pennsylvania and in 23 other states are not required to cast their votes for any specific candidate.  Although Pennsylvania has never had an elector deviate from the political party which chose the elector, other electors from other states have chosen to be "faithless electors."  If it chose to do so, the Pennsylvania Legislature could easily join 26 other states which require electors to be bound to their pledge to vote for a specific candidate.

Section 918 of the Pennsylvania Election Code provides that within 30 days after the nomination by a political party's national convention, the Presidential nominee of the party must nominate the party's candidates "for the office of presidential electors." Thus, the electors are chosen by the party's Presidential nominee.  This year, the Republican convention in Tampa, Florida ends on August 30; therefore, the 20 Republican electors must be named by September 29.  The Democratic convention in Charlotte, North Carolina ends on September 6; therefore, the 20 Democratic electors must be named by October 6.


              During the past five Presidential elections, ie, from 1992 through 2008, Pennsylvania has cast its electoral votes for the Democratic candidates.  A review of the electors during those years indicates that the party chose people to be electors who were party loyalists, particularly state and county party officials, mayors, county commissioners, state senators, state representatives and district attorneys.

After the Presidential election on November 6, the results will become known and the Secretary of the Commonwealth will certify the results.  Then, according to federal law, the 20 Republican electors (if the Republican Presidential candidate wins a majority or plurality of the popular vote in Pennsylvania) or the 20 Democratic electors (if the Democratic Presidential candidate wins a majority or plurality of the popular vote in Pennsylvania) will meet in the Capitol in Harrisburg on December 17 and cast their electoral votes.

According to Article II of the Constitution and as noted by Alexander Hamilton, the electoral votes of each jurisdiction are transmitted to Washington, D.C. During the first week of January the electoral votes are delivered to a joint session of Congress meeting in the House of Representatives.  The Vice-President of the United States is the President of the Senate and the presiding officer for purposes of conducting the official tally of the electoral votes.  When all 538 electoral votes are tallied, the Vice-President announces the results; if any Presidential or Vice-Presidential candidate has received 270 electoral votes, the Vice-President declares that person or those persons to be the winners.


PROPOSED CHANGES IN PENNSYLVANIA'S METHOD OF SELECTING ELECTORS

In 2011, two proposals to change Pennsylvania's method of selecting electors were introduced in the Pennsylvania Senate.  Both proposals are, of course, state proposals and can not affect the provisions for the operation of the Electoral College in Article II of the Constitution.  Both seem to be motivated by a desire to have Pennsylvania's electoral votes be more reflective of the will of the people.  However, the people in one proposal (Senate Bill No.  1116) are the American people whereas the people in the other proposal (Senate Bill No. 1282) are the people of Pennsylvania.

Senate Bill No. 1116 was introduced by Senator Alloway of Adams County and has the title "The Agreement Among the States to Elect the President by National Popular Vote Act." There has not been much publicity concerning this bill and it was referred to the State Government Committee on June17, 2011.

If enacted by enough states, ie states with a total of 270 electoral votes, the National Popular Vote Act would result in the direct election of the President.  The Electoral College would be preserved, but states which pass the Act (which would NOT become effective until enough states have passed the Act) would agree to cast their electoral votes for the Presidential candidate who received a majority or a plurality of the nationwide vote.  Such states would disregard the interests of their states in order to insure the election nationwide of a majority or a plurality President.


               Eight states (Vermont, Massachusetts, New Jersey, Maryland, Illinois, California, Washington and Hawaii) along with the District of Columbia have passed the National Popular Vote Act for a total of 132 electoral votes....138 electoral votes short of the 270 needed to activate it.  During the past several decades, public opinion polls have indicated that a clear majority of the American people support the idea of the President being chosen by a nationwide popular vote system.

Although this proposal would eliminate the possibility of a President being elected by less than a majority or a plurality of the popular vote, critics have noted that this proposal would greatly reduce
 the role and significance of individual states. Critics have also stressed that the Founders twice rejected
 the concept of the direct election of the President in 1787. The National Popular Vote Act would also lead to the anomalous situation of a state's popular vote being for one candidate and the state's electoral votes having to go to another candidate because the other candidate received more popular votes nationwide.

Senate Bill No. 1282 was introduced by Senator Pileggi of Delaware County.  He is the majority leader in the state Senate and one of the cosponsors of the bill is Senator Scamati of Jefferson County who is the president pro tempore in the Senate.  Governor Corbett has said that he supports the bill.  In light of their sponsorship and support, Senate Bill No. 1282 received considerable publicity in the summer and fall of2011 and was the subject of a Senate State Government hearing in October 2011.

The bill allocates Pennsylvania's electoral votes according to Congressional districts.  The winner of the popular vote in each Congressional district would receive an electoral vote and the winner of the statewide popular vote would receive two electoral votes.  Such a system would more closely represent the popular will of the people of Pennsylvania.   Instead of "a winner take all" system, this proposal would probably ensure that the losing Presidential candidate received some electoral votes.

During the hearings on Senate Bill No. 1282 several criticisms were expressed.  This change in Pennsylvania law could result in one candidate winning a majority of the popular vote and yet not gaining a majority of the electoral votes.  It also could greatly reduce voter turnout particularly in Congressional districts which were for political reasons gerrymandered to overwhelmingly favor one political party.

Two rather practical considerations also became apparent. Passage of this bill could greatly reduce Pennsylvania's status as a "swing state." Such states historically receive substantial attention from the Presidential candidates in terms of campaign appearances and interest in Pennsylvania issues. Also, passage of this bill would greatly reduce the amount of money which would be spent in Pennsylvania by the candidates and the national media.

In light of the above criticisms of the two Senate bills and in light of political and editorial misgivings concerning the bills, Pennsylvania will very likely retain its "winner take all" system in 2012.

CONCLUSION

The Electoral College remains, as Alexander Hamilton eloquently described it in the Federalist Papers, "an excellent but not perfect system" for selecting the President of the United States.  An imperfection became obvious in 1800 and was quickly corrected with the l2th Amendment in 1804. The imperfections were evident in 1824, 1876, 1888 and 2000 (and in 2016) when candidates who received a majority or a plurality of the popular vote were not chosen to be President. Those obvious imperfections should not obscure the fact that in the 51 Presidential elections in the 19th, 20th, and 21th centuries, the Electoral College performed its function well 47 times.

Imperfections, however, are exactly that - imperfections; no one should be surprised in 2012 if charges of corruption, fraud, illegitimacy, thievery and deceit are made if the candidate who receives a majority or a plurality of the popular vote does not receive a majority in the Electoral College. In the wake of the 2000 election and in light of the current highly-charged political atmosphere such accusations will be expected and plentiful. Also abundant will be demands that changes be made in the Electoral College.

Current efforts, however to change Pennsylvania's method of selecting its Presidential electors will likely fail and Pennsylvania will likely retain its "winner take all" system as its Presidential electors gather in Harrisburg on December 17, 2012. - Daniel R. Schuckers, Esq.

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